A critical breakout level at $297 is now back in focus, opening the doors for a bullish Solana price outlook going into the final quarter of the year.
Fundamentals are warming for a move as the macro backdrop is starting to shift in favor of risk assets like altcoins.
Speculators now expect up to three rate cuts before year-end, starting as soon as September.
Lower borrowing costs could stimulate new inflows into risk assets like cryptocurrencies, reviving altcoin season sentiment.
And Solana stands as a prime beneficiary with the approaching October 10 deadline for a potential spot SOL ETF, which could open the gates to previously untapped TradFi demand.
Solana Price Analysis: Does the SOL Bull Run Hinge on $297?
Solana could be on track to fulfill the $297 breakout target set by a previous falling wedge, as it now nears the breakout of a 4-month ascending channel.
This 4-month consolidation phase has allowed the wedge pattern to gradually play out—and with market sentiment warming, its full upside potential may finally come into view.
With a potential double bottom reversal pattern forming around $157, Solana could reverse to retest resistance at $207, the level that capped its most recent bull run.
This comes as momentum indicators still reflect weakness. The RSI hovers just below the neutral line, suggesting sellers maintain short-term control.
More so, the MACD teeters on a death cross, with the line moving in close parallel to the signal, pointing to a fragile uptrend.
A second bounce off $157 could provide the strength needed to flip the outlook fully bullish.
Crucially, $207 marks the final threshold to a breakout of the ascending channel, opening the door for a retest of the $297 resistance.
If flipped to support, this level becomes a launchpad for Solana to enter price discovery.
With interest rate cuts and a spot ETF approval likely to boost demand going into the final quarter of the year, a 205% rally to $500 could be in play.
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When it comes to large-cap coins like SOL, gains tend to move slowly. Explosive breakouts can take months to develop, only to play out in a matter of days.
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